Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 7.156409 7.880292 8.652966 9.540327 10.532770 11.610260 12.870938
2025-10-26 5.746860 6.687439 7.756240 9.065365 10.631993 12.454411 14.746278
2025-11-02 4.768787 5.817446 7.075001 8.704545 10.775222 13.338506 16.782588
2025-11-09 4.051122 5.150272 6.532390 8.415638 10.942138 14.253154 18.984762
2025-11-16 3.523214 4.646472 6.120047 8.221257 11.183694 15.276691 21.475029
2025-11-23 3.127990 4.263675 5.811783 8.112947 11.509745 16.440744 24.330527
2025-11-30 2.875962 4.043148 5.692633 8.243252 12.177975 18.170760 28.292939
2025-12-07 2.605031 3.762840 5.451899 8.157052 12.498636 19.405431 31.666473
2025-12-14 2.347975 3.474174 5.164368 7.958220 12.606117 20.301193 34.606288
2025-12-21 2.162635 3.274036 4.987789 7.907987 12.938240 21.597927 38.447805
2025-12-28 2.051831 3.177763 4.961438 8.095036 13.686719 23.704871 44.139585
2026-01-04 1.945525 3.077454 4.916333 8.240889 14.374716 25.790988 50.162628
2026-01-11 1.821367 2.939184 4.799024 8.254862 14.839105 27.555448 55.943391
2026-01-18 1.692887 2.782334 4.635226 8.166583 15.099297 28.962315 61.252216
2026-01-25 1.573456 2.630738 4.466390 8.049695 15.287610 30.251115 66.566042
2026-02-01 1.463908 2.487272 4.298871 7.916345 15.424294 31.450410 71.924494
2026-02-08 1.370329 2.364669 4.158247 7.819580 15.622964 32.812758 77.979882
2026-02-15 1.292066 2.263613 4.048566 7.772180 15.919503 34.439311 85.079587
2026-02-22 1.246258 2.218908 4.041364 7.932987 16.693557 37.301119 96.179627
2026-03-01 1.178562 2.127428 3.935414 7.874249 16.961518 38.983788 104.378333
2026-03-08 1.103764 2.016764 3.782468 7.698364 16.933347 39.921771 110.618658
2026-03-15 1.049670 1.942496 3.696356 7.659813 17.227202 41.734230 119.996594
2026-03-22 1.021967 1.918367 3.710365 7.846770 18.098795 45.231339 135.726172